Will You See a White Christmas This Year?
Much like Bing Crosby, we all dream of a white Christmas, but for those of us living in the UK, we rarely see one.
In fact, the Met Office has only recorded 4 cases of widespread snow settling on the ground in on Christmas Day in the last 51 years. And with snow more likely to fall in the months of January, February, and March than in December, many UK residents are left to experience the perfect Dickensian white Christmas vicariously through films and paintings.
With the recent outburst of snow across the country in the last few weeks, many are now hoping to wake up to a pristine white canvas on Christmas Day. But what are the chances of a true white Christmas in the UK this year?
According to data collected by World Weather Online, England has a 6% chance of seeing snow on Christmas Day, compared to a 7.3% chance in Scotland, and a 3.6% chance in Wales. Although, these numbers are nothing compared to Russia’s 60.9% chance of seeing snow on Christmas Day, the highest in the world.
In terms of the UK cities with the highest chance of seeing snow on Christmas Day, it’s not surprising that the top 3 cities are Scottish:
- Stirling (Scotland) – 12.9%
- Aberdeen (Scotland) – 12.5 %
- Inverness (Scotland) – 11.3%
- Bradford (England) – 10.5%
- Newry (Northern Ireland) – 8.5%
- Carlisle (England) – 8.5%
- Wolverhampton (England) – 8.5%
- Birmingham (England) – 8.1%
- Portsmouth (England) – 8.1%
- Armagh (Northern Ireland) – 7.7%
With many of England’s northern cities having high hopes for a white Christmas, down South is much less likely to catch any Christmas snow. Truro, Swansea, Plymouth, Southampton, and Exeter all sit below an underwhelming 3% chance.
These numbers may disappoint a lot of UK residents, and it may seem as though we’ve already received our allotted snow for the year, but remember that these forecasts come weeks in advance of the big day, and cannot be expected to be entirely reliable. There’s still hope, then, that the forecasts are wrong and that the weather will change to allow for the perfect postcard Christmas that we all long for every year. We can only dream until then.